Global minimum temperatures (T-MIN) are increasing faster than maximum temp
eratures, but the ecological consequences of this are Largely unexplored. L
ong-term data sets from the shortgrass steppe were used to identify correla
tions between T-MIN and several vegetation variables. This ecosystem is pot
entially sensitive to increases in T-MIN. Most notably, increased spring T-
MIN was correlated with decreased net primary production by the dominant C-
4 grass (Bouteloua gracilis) and with increased abundance and production by
exotic and native C-3 forbs. Reductions in B. gracilis may make this syste
m more vulnerable to invasion by exotic species and less tolerant of drough
t and grazing.