One of the main unsolved problems confronting Hypertext is the navigation p
roblem, namely the problem of having to know where you are in the database
graph representing the structure of a Hypertext database, and knowing how t
o get to some other place you are searching for in the database graph. Prev
iously we formalised a Hypertext database in terms of a directed graph whos
e nodes represent pages of information. The notion of a trail, which is a p
ath in the database graph describing some logical association amongst the p
ages in the trail, is central to our model. We defined a Hypertext Query La
nguage, HQL, over Hypertext databases and showed that in general the naviga
tion problem, i.e. the problem of finding a trail that satisfies a HQL quer
y (technically known as the model checking problem), is NP-complete. Herein
we present a preliminary investigation of using a probabilistic approach i
n order to enhance the efficiency of model checking. The flavour of our inv
estigation is that if we have some additional statistical information about
the Hypertext database then we can utilise such information during query p
rocessing. We present two different approaches. The first approach utilises
the theory of probabilistic automata. In this approach we view a Hypertext
database as a probabilistic automaton, which we call a Hypertext probabili
stic automaton. In such an automaton we assume that the probability of trav
ersing a link is determined by the usage statistics of that link. We exhibi
t a special case when the number of trails that satisfy a query is always f
inite and indicate how to give a finite approximation of answering a query
in the general case. The second approach utilises the theory of random Turi
ng machines. In this approach we view a Hypertext database as a probabilist
ic algorithm, realised via a Hypertext random automaton. In such an automat
on we assume that out of a choice of links, traversing any one of them is e
qually likely. We obtain the lower bound of the probability that a random t
rail satisfies a query. In principle, by iterating this probabilistic algor
ithm, associated with the Hypertext database, the probability of finding a
trail that satisfies the query can be made arbitrarily large. (C) 1999 Else
vier Science Inc. All rights reserved.