Unlocking Australia's contingent protection black box

In this paper, the material injury outcome decisions of the Australian regu latory authority (the Anti-Dumping Authority) are analyzed in order to dete rmine which factors are influential in determining outcome decisions. The p aper tests hypotheses concerning how the Australian authorities decide whet her an Australian industry has suffered material injury as required under t he relevant Australian legislation and the GATT/WTO obligations. The paper concludes that even though the Australian authorities follow a procedurally correct and GATT-consistent approach, there is nevertheless some evidence of protectionist bins in favour of domestic industries.