Short-term field experiments are often used to predict and evaluate long-te
rm management effects. Based on a mowing experiment in two calcareous fens
near Lake Neuchatel, Switzerland, we investigated whether shea-term treatme
nt effects (i.e. during the first four years) were confirmed by longterm re
sults (13 - 14 yr). Plots were mown in summer or in winter or left unmown.
The main long-term trends in overall species composition (based on percenta
ge cover estimates) were already observable in the first four years: mown a
nd unmown plots diverged, whereas summer-cut and winter-cut plots remained
similar. At the individual species level, however, short-term and long-term
treatment effects differed considerably: many species whose abundance seem
ed affected by treatments during the first four years showed no response in
the long term, and vice versa. These discrepancies were similar when based
on cover estimates or on counts of shoots. Species responses did actually
depend on the time scale considered. Short-term and long-term treatment eff
ects on species richness were similar (i.e. a decrease in unmown plots), al
though only long-term effects were significant. Treatment effects on the ab
ove-ground biomass varied considerably, and short-term trends (lower biomas
s in unmown plots) differed from long-term trends (higher biomass in unmown
plots). Our sites showed little overall change in species composition duri
ng the period investigated, and treatment effects were low compared with ot
her similar experiments. if study sites are less stable or treatment effect
s more drastic, a short-term evaluation is expected to be even less reliabl
e. Knowledge on species dynamics at a site may help to choose the adequate
spatial and temporal scale of investigation, and thus increase the efficien
cy of management experiments.