Ce. Banfield et Jd. Jacobs, Regional patterns of temperature and precipitation for Newfoundland and Labrador during the past century, CAN GEOGR, 42(4), 1998, pp. 354-364
We have analyzed the mid-to-late 20th century instrumental record of winter
and summer temperatures and precipitation for six stations representative
of Newfoundland subregions and of central and coastal Labrador. In addition
, these modern records have been extended into the 1800s by using portions
of records from Belie isle and the city of St. John's. For these two length
ier records, several 'epochs' of alternating relatively high or low charact
eristic temperatures are distinguished, particularly for the winter season.
The modern (post-1940) temperature records show that the mid-century warm
period has been succeeded by a significant shift to predominantly colder wi
nters over this entire region since about 1972. A concurrent decline in sum
mer temperatures is restricted to Labrador and north-central parts of the i
sland. With respect to other studies of recent climatic trends over northea
stern Canada and the northwest Atlantic, our results demonstrate a signific
ant correlation, at most of our study locations, between mean winter temper
ature and seasonally averaged values of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO
) and the Baffin island-West Atlantic Index (BWI).
Comparative examination of the precipitation record for these stations also
reveals subregional scale contrasts in the degree of variability and trend
for annual and seasonal totals. For St. John's, representative series of t
otal precipitation spanning the past century are analyzed for winter and su
mmer; these series lack significant lengthy trends, although short-term pre
cipitation variability is to some degree associated with the mean temperatu
res of the defined epochs. Since the 1940s, significant upward trends in to
tal amounts and frequencies characterize the southwestern coast of the isla
nd for both winter and summer, and eastern Labrador in summer. The increase
d winter snowfall observed on the southwest coast during the past three dec
ades is considered to be linked to a greater frequency of onshore synoptic
airflow patterns accompanying the trend to predominantly positive winter NA
O Index within this period.