The effect of litter quality and climate on the rate of decomposition of pl
ant tissues was examined by the measurement of mass remaining after 3 years
' exposure of 11 litter types placed at 18 forest sites across Canada. Amon
gst sites, mass remaining was strongly related to mean annual temperature a
nd precipitation and amongst litter types the ratio of Klason lignin to nit
rogen in the initial tissue was the most important litter quality variable.
When combined into a multiple regression, mean annual temperature, mean an
nual precipitation and Klason lignin:nitrogen ratio explained 73% of the va
riance in mass remaining for all sites and tissues. Using three doubled CO2
GCM climate change scenarios for four Canadian regions, these relationship
s were used to predict increases in decomposition rate of 4-7% of contempor
ary rates (based on mass remaining after 3 years), because of increased tem
perature and precipitation. This increase may be partially offset by eviden
ce that plants growing under elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations produc
e litter with high lignin:nitrogen ratios which slows the rate of decomposi
tion, but this change will be small compared to the increased rate of decom
position derived from climatic changes.