Are Australia's current account deficits excessive?

Citation
P. Cashin et Cj. Mcdermott, Are Australia's current account deficits excessive?, ECON REC, 74(227), 1998, pp. 346-361
Citations number
45
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
ECONOMIC RECORD
ISSN journal
00130249 → ACNP
Volume
74
Issue
227
Year of publication
1998
Pages
346 - 361
Database
ISI
SICI code
0013-0249(199812)74:227<346:AACADE>2.0.ZU;2-P
Abstract
This paper compares the evolution of the Australian current account balance over the period 1954-94 against an optimal current account derived from a consumption-smoothing model. The findings indicate that the Australian curr ent account was nor used to smooth consumption optimally in the period prio r to the relaxation of capital controls in the early 1980s. The results als o suggest that in the period since the mid-1980s Australia's current accoun t deficits have become excessive, and that the increase in net national sav ing required to satisfy its external borrowing constraint is about 2 to 4 p er cent of GDP.