A methodology to analyze divergent case studies of non-timber forest products and their development potential

Debate currently rages over the development potential of Non-Timber Forest Products (NTFP) in tropical forests. Proponents of particular "solutions" c an refer to evidence (case studies, data) which tend to support their inter pretation of events and relationships. Recommendations thus frequently depe nd on how data are classified and interpreted. Inaccurate or incomplete cla ssification leads to defective subsequent theories, models, and recommendat ions, We present a method for classifying very divergent case-study data, a nd some initial results as a basis for general understanding of key factors that influence a given result. Crucial issues determining outcomes of NTFP development include the nature of government involvement, distribution of property rights, the ability of local people to claim and enforce such righ ts, market transparency, and pressure on the resource. This paper concludes with suggestions for further testing and development of the methodology.