The activity of Vesuvius in the next millennium

Authors
Citation
A. Palumbo, The activity of Vesuvius in the next millennium, J VOLCANOL, 88(1-2), 1999, pp. 125-129
Citations number
11
Categorie Soggetti
Earth Sciences
Journal title
JOURNAL OF VOLCANOLOGY AND GEOTHERMAL RESEARCH
ISSN journal
03770273 → ACNP
Volume
88
Issue
1-2
Year of publication
1999
Pages
125 - 129
Database
ISI
SICI code
0377-0273(199901)88:1-2<125:TAOVIT>2.0.ZU;2-H
Abstract
The time distribution of the historical eruptions of Vesuvius allows the fo recasting of the activity of the volcano for the next millennium according to three independent models. The next event with volcanic explosivity index (VEI) = 4 is likely to occur during the next few decades followed by a dec reasing number of smaller eruptions in the successive few centuries and by a very long period of quiescence up to the beginning of the following fourt h millennium when the next Plinian event (VEI = 5) might occur. (C) 1999 El sevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.