Long, continuous, marine sediment records from the subpolar North Atlantic
document the glacial modulation of regional climate instability throughout
the past 0.5 million years. Whenever ice sheet size surpasses a critical th
reshold indicated by the benthic oxygen isotope (delta(18)O) value of 3.5 p
er mil during each of the past five glaciation cycles, indicators of iceber
g discharge and sea-surface temperature display dramatically Larger amplitu
des of millennial-scale variability than when ice sheets are small. Sea-sur
face temperature oscillations of 1 degrees to 2 degrees C increase in size
to approximately 4 degrees to 6 degrees C, and catastrophic iceberg dischar
ges begin alternating repeatedly with brief quiescent intervals. The glacia
l growth associated with this amplification threshold represents a relative
ly small departure from the modern ice sheet configuration and sea level. I
nstability characterizes nearly all observed climate states, with the excep
tion of a Limited range of baseline conditions that includes the current Ho
locene interglacial.