R. Beaglehole et al., DECLINING RATES OF CORONARY HEART-DISEASE IN NEW-ZEALAND AND AUSTRALIA, 1983-1993, American journal of epidemiology, 145(8), 1997, pp. 707-713
The authors report the results of 10 years of monitoring of trends in
the rates of major nonfatal and fatal coronary events and in case fata
lity in Auckland, New Zealand, and in Newcastle and Perth, Australia.
Continuous surveillance of all suspected myocardial infarctions and co
ronary deaths in people aged 35-64 years was undertaken in the three c
enters as part of the World Health Organization's Multinational Monito
ring of Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease (MONICA) Pro
ject, For nonfatal definite myocardial infarction, there were statisti
cally significant declines in rates in all centers in both men and wom
en, with estimated average changes between 2.5% and 3.7% per year duri
ng the period 1984-1993, Rates of all coronary deaths also declined si
gnificantly in all three populations for both men and women. In absolu
te terms, there was, in general, a greater reduction in prehospital de
aths than in deaths after hospitalization. Although 28-day case fatali
ty remains high at between 35% and 50%, in the Australian centers it d
eclined significantly by between 1.0% and 2.9% per year, and in Auckla
nd there was also a small decline, However, since most deaths occur ou
tside the hospital in people without a previous history of coronary he
art disease, an increased emphasis on primary prevention is necessary.