Vs. Prasad et al., Assessment of quality and impact of full resolution TOVS temperature profile data on the operational global data assimilation forecast system of India, METEOR ATM, 68(3-4), 1998, pp. 197-212
TOVS temperature profile data (SATEM) at its full resolution (85 km) has no
w become available in India on experimental basis. An attempt is made in th
is study to examine the quality and impact of this on the medium range fore
casts over India and neighbourhood. For this purpose, a seven day period st
arting from 15 March 1996 is chosen to study the impact of the data on the
global analysis-forecasting system operational in India. Though one week da
ta is utilized for the impact study, the complete data of March 1996 is use
d for examining quality, representativeness and consistency of the retrieva
ls. In the operational system of the National Centre for Medium Range Weath
er Forecasting (NCMRWF), all types of data, including coarse resolution (50
0 km) global TOVS retrievals-coarse grid SATEM (CGS) data, received on GTS
at hourly intervals are used in the assimilation cycle. For the present stu
dy the assimilation cycle is repeated for the above period by including hig
h resolution data over the geographical regions covered by the New Delhi's
high resolution picture transmission (HRPT) station and simultaneously remo
ving coarse resolution SATEM data. The analysis and forecast fields thus ge
nerated are compared with the corresponding operational archives. The impac
t of the data is examined in terms of various objective scores and through
circulation characteristics.
The study reveals that the quality of high resolution SATEM (HRS) data is s
atisfactory and is such that it can be utilized in the global data assimila
tion system on real-time basis. A general improvement in the RMSE and ACC s
cores of the medium range forecasts is found over the data void equatorial
sectors of the Indian Ocean after the incorporation of the HRS data fields
in the assimilation cycle. With regard to a typical easterly wave activity
of moderate intensity during the period of experimentation, a marginal modu
lation in low level vorticity and divergence forecasts is found to be impro
ving the precipitation magnitudes over the south peninsular India as well.