The hormonal milieu of the patient at the time of surgery may influence the
prognosis of patients with primary breast cancer. Circulating unopposed es
trogen is perhaps detrimental, while circulating progesterone may confer a
survival advantage. This hypothesis has particular relevance to the timing
of surgery in relation to the menstrual cycle. After all, the first 14 days
of the menstrual cycle (follicular phase) are characterized by high levels
of circulating unopposed estrogen, while circulating progesterone is prese
nt during the second 14 days of the cycle (luteal phase). Several retrospec
tive studies have shown that surgery during the follicular phase of the men
strual cycle results in a worse disease-free and overall survival. Randomiz
ed controlled trials addressing the effect of timing of surgery or neoadjuv
ant hormonal therapy on breast cancer mortality are urgently needed to conf
irm or refute the unopposed estrogen hypothesis. Such trials may provide im
portant insights into the natural history of breast cancer, and a basis for
significantly reducing breast cancer mortality.