A steady state variance propagation algorithm is derived to investigate the
effect of stochastic air temperature disturbances on the variability of th
e temperature field inside refrigerated fruits during cold storage conditio
ns. The disturbances are modelled by continuous-time autoregressive process
es of variable order. The algorithm is based on the finite element formulat
ion of the heat conduction equation and involves the numerical solution of
matrix equations of the Lyapunov and Sylvester type. As an example, the col
d storage of pineapple has been considered. It is shown that disturbances o
f different order but with the same scale of fluctuation result in comparab
le centre temperature variances. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd and IIR. All
rights reserved.