The semimajor axes of asteroids up to about 20 kilometers in diameter drift
as a result of the Yarkovsky effect, a subtle nongravitational mechanism r
elated to radiation pressure recoil on spinning objects that orbit the sun.
Over the collisional lifetimes of these objects (typically, 10 to 1000 mil
lion years), orbital semimajor axes can be moved by a few hundredths of an
astronomical unit for bodies between 1 and 10 kilometers in mean radius. Th
is has implications for the delivery of multikilometer near-Earth asteroids
, because the Yarkovsky drift drives many small main-belt asteroids into th
e resonances that transport them to the Mars-crossing state and eventually
to near-Earth space. Recent work has shown that, without such a drift, the
Mars-crossing population would be depleted over about 100 million years, a
time scale much smaller than the age of the solar system. Moreover, the Yar
kovsky semimajor axis mobility may spread in an observable way the tight se
mimajor axis clustering of small asteroids produced as a consequence of dis
ruptive collisions.