Background-Over the past 20 years there have been many changes in the manag
ement of rectal cancer. Their impact on the overall population is not well
known.
Aims-To determine trends in management and prognosis of rectal cancer in tw
o French regions.
Subjects-1978 patients with a rectal carcinoma diagnosed between 1978 and 1
993.
Methods-Time trends in treatment, stage at diagnosis, operative mortality,
and survival were studied on a four year basis. A non-conditional logistic
regression was performed to obtain an odds ratio for each period adjusted f
or the other variables. To estimate the independent effect of the period a
multivariate relative survival analysis was performed.
Results-Over the 16 year period resection rates increased from 66.0% to 80.
1%; the increase was particularly noticeable for sphincter saving procedure
s (+30.6% per four years, (p = 0.03). The percentage of patients receiving
adjuvant radiotherapy increased from 24.0% to 40.0% (p = 0.02). The proport
ion of patients with Dukes) type A cancer increased from 17.7% to 30.6% wit
h a corresponding decrease in those with more advanced disease. Operative m
ortality decreased by 31.1% per four years (p = 0.03). All these improvemen
ts have resulted in a dramatic increase in relative survival (from 35.4% fo
r the 1978-1981 period to 57.0% for the 1985-1989 period).
Conclusions-Substantial advances in the management of rectal cancer have be
en achieved, but there is evidence that further improvements can be made in
order to increase survival.