Objective: To calculate receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for
fluorescence spectroscopy in order to measure its performance in the diagno
sis of squamous intraepithelial lesions (SILs) and to compare these curves
with those for other diagnostic methods: colposcopy, cervicography, speculo
scopy, Papanicolaou smear screening, and human papillomavirus (HPV) testing
.
Data Sources: Data from our previous clinical study were used to calculate
ROC curves for fluorescence spectroscopy. Curves for other techniques were
calculated from other investigators' reports. To identify these, a MEDLINE
search for articles published from 1966 to 1996 was carried out, using the
search terms "colposcopy," "cervicoscopy," "cervicography," "speculoscopy,"
"Papanicolaou smear," "HPV testing," "fluorescence spectroscopy," and "pol
ar probe" in conjunction with the terms "diagnosis," "positive predictive v
alue," "negative predictive value," and "receiver operating characteristic
curve."
Methods of Study Selection: We found 270 articles, from which articles were
selected if they reported results of studies involving high-disease-preval
ence populations, reported findings of studies in which colposcopically dir
ected biopsy was the criterion standard, and included sufficient data for r
ecalculation of the reported sensitivities and specificities.
Tabulation, Integration, and Results: We calculated ROC curves for fluoresc
ence spectroscopy using Bayesian and neural net algorithms. A meta-analytic
approach was used to calculate ROC curves for the other techniques. Areas
under the curves were calculated. Fluorescence spectroscopy using the neura
l net algorithm had the highest area under the ROC curve, followed by fluor
escence spectroscopy using the Bayesian algorithm, followed by colposcopy,
the standard diagnostic technique. Cervicography, Papanicolaou smear screen
ing, and HPV testing performed comparably with each other but not as well a
s fluorescence spectroscopy and colposcopy.
Conclusion: Fluorescence spectroscopy performs better than colposcopy and o
ther techniques in the diagnosis of SILs. Because it also permits real-time
diagnosis and has the potential of being used by inexperienced health care
personnel, this technology holds bright promise. (C) 1999 by The American
College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists.