T. Oatley, Central bank independence and inflation: Corporatism, partisanship, and alternative indices of central bank independence, PUBL CHOICE, 98(3-4), 1999, pp. 399-413
A well-developed theoretical literature suggests that central bank independ
ence causes low inflation. Empirical work supporting this hypothesis is uns
atisfactory, however, for two reasons: statistical analysis has only recent
ly begun to include control variables, and important political variables th
at are related to inflation have not yet been included; analysis has not ye
t undertaken a systematic comparison of alternative indices of central bank
independence. This paper addresses both weaknesses by testing the explanat
ory power of eight indices of central bank independence in a political-econ
omic model of inflation. The results suggest that while support for the cen
tral bank independence hypothesis survives a relatively inclusive set of co
ntrol variables, support for the hypothesis is not independent of the parti
cular index upon which analysis relies.