BACKGROUND, Little information is available regarding the invasive breast c
arcinoma risk associated with estrogen replacement therapy (ERT) in women w
ith histories of histologically defined breast lesions.
METHODS. A retrospective cohort study of a consecutive series of women who
underwent breast biopsies that proved to be benign between 1952-1978 was co
nducted. Follow-up data were obtained for 9494 women (87.6% of women eligib
le for follow-up). To investigate the effect of ERT on invasive breast carc
inoma risk, the analysis was restricted to women with premenopausal breast
disease whose follow-up extended through menopause and who did not develop
premenopausal breast carcinoma. Relative risks were calculated with respect
to women who took ERT but whose benign breast biopsies had neither atypica
l hyperplasia (AH), complex fibroadenoma (CFA), nor proliferative disease w
ithout atypia (PDWA).
RESULTS. During 190,845 woman-years of follow-up there were 444 confirmed c
ases of invasive breast carcinoma in the entire cohort. Women with a histor
y of AH had relative risks of invasive breast carcinoma of 2.87 (95% confid
ence interval [95% CI], 1.3-6.3) and 2.53 (95% CI, 1.0-6.3) if they did or
did not take ERT, respectively. For women with a history of CFA these risks
were 1.57 (95% CI, 0.72-3.4) and 1.46 (95% CI, 0.53-4.0), respectively, wh
ereas for women with a history of PDWA they were 1.37 (95% CI, 0.88-2.1) an
d 1.13 (95% CI, 0.69-1.9), respectively.
CONCLUSIONS. ERT does not significantly elevate the risk of invasive breast
carcinoma in women with previous histologically defined benign breast dise
ase. Therefore, ERT is not contraindicated in these women. Cancer 1999;85:1
277-83. (C) 1999 American Cancer Society.