Objective: To help clinicians more accurately predict outcomes of treatment
for depression, variables associated with recurrence of depression in the
year after treatment were examined in a group Of patients who completed tre
atment for an index episode of depression. Methods: Forty-two depressed pat
ients who participated in a double-blind pharmacological treatment study we
re followed For one year after treatment was discontinued, Length of treatm
ent for the index episode was determined. by clinicians and ranged from eig
ht to 76 consecutive a weeks. Eighteen patients who had a recurrent episode
(43 percent) and 24 patients who did not (57 percent) were compared on soc
iodemographic and clinical variables, including scores on the Eysenck Perso
nality Questionnaire (EPQ). Results: A. combination of three variables pred
icted recurrence. of depression in 90 percent of cases. They were an elevat
ed EPQ score on the neuroticism subscale, a short duration of treatment of
the index episode, and a slow onset Of response to treatment of the index e
pisode, Conclusions: The findings suggest that personality traits, treatmen
t duration, and variations in response to treatment might have an impact on
long-term treatment outcome. Clinicians should consider these factors when
making treatment decisions for depressed patients.