Structural equation models were used to test the effectiveness of various t
heories in predicting cigarette smoking among adolescents. Maximum-likeliho
od estimation, as implemented in LISREL for Windows 8.12, was used to compa
re the theory of reasoned action (TRA), the theory of planned behavior, and
a modified version of the theory of reasoned action incorporating past beh
avior. Respondents consisted of 225 high school students who were questione
d in 1994 about their attitudes, subjective norms, perceived behavioral con
trol, past behavior, intentions, and actual behavior relating to the use of
cigarettes. Results indicated that the modification of the TRA incorporati
ng past behavior provided a marginally better fit than the other models. Fo
r this group of high school students, attitudes toward smoking, past behavi
or in relation to smoking, and perceptions of what significant others think
they should do were significant predictors of their intentions to smoke. I
ntentions, together with past behavior, predicted their actual behavior. Th
e models used in the present research show that this behavior can be explai
ned with reference to a small number of key variables which are useful for
furthering our understanding of the structure of adolescents smoking.