Asymptotic normality of the maximum-likelihood estimator for general hidden Markov models

Citation
Pj. Bickel et al., Asymptotic normality of the maximum-likelihood estimator for general hidden Markov models, ANN STATIST, 26(4), 1998, pp. 1614-1635
Citations number
23
Categorie Soggetti
Mathematics
Journal title
ANNALS OF STATISTICS
ISSN journal
00905364 → ACNP
Volume
26
Issue
4
Year of publication
1998
Pages
1614 - 1635
Database
ISI
SICI code
0090-5364(199808)26:4<1614:ANOTME>2.0.ZU;2-H
Abstract
Hidden Markov models (HMMs) have during the last decade become a widespread tool for modeling sequences of dependent random variables. Inference for s uch models is usually based on the maximum-likelihood estimator (MLE), and consistency of the MLE for general HMMs was recently proved by Leroux. In t his paper me show that under mild conditions the MLE is also asymptotically normal and prove that the observed information matrix is a consistent esti mator of the Fisher information.