In this study, we examine the cost effectiveness of carvedilol for the trea
tment of chronic heart failure (CHF). We use a Markov model to project life
expectancy and lifetime medical care costs for a hypothetical cohort of pa
tients with CHF who were assumed alternatively to receive carvedilol plus c
onventional therapy (digoxin, diuretics, and angiotensin-converting enzyme
inhibitors) or conventional therapy alone. Patients on carvedilol were assu
med to experience a reduced risk of death and hospitalization for CHF, whic
h is consistent with findings from the US Carvedilol Heart Failure Trials P
rogram. The benefits of carvedilol were projected under 2 alternative scena
rios. In the first ("limited benefits"), benefits were conservatively assum
ed to persist for 6 months, the average duration of follow-up in these clin
ical trials, and then end abruptly. In the other ("extended benefits"), the
y were arbitrarily assumed to persist for 6 months and then decline gradual
ly over time, vanishing by the end of 3 years. We estimated our model using
data from the US Carvedilol Heart Failure Trials Program and other sources
. For patients receiving conventional therapy alone, estimated life expecta
ncy was 6.67 years; corresponding figures for those also receiving carvedil
ol were 6.98 and 7.62 years under the limited and extended benefits scenari
os, respectively. Expected lifetime costs of CHF-related care were estimate
d to be $28,756 for conventional therapy, and $36,420 and $38,867 for carve
dilol (limited and extended benefits, respectively). Cost per life-year sav
ed for carvedilol was $29,477 and $12,799 under limited and extended benefi
ts assumptions, respectively. The cost effectiveness of carvedilol for CHF
compares favorably to that of other generally accepted medical intervention
s, even. under conservative assumptions regarding the duration of therapeut
ic benefit. (C) 1999 by Excerpta Medico, Inc.