Inflation uncertainty and the cost of inflation

Citation
P. Ouellette et A. Paquet, Inflation uncertainty and the cost of inflation, CAN J ECON, 32(1), 1999, pp. 195-214
Citations number
13
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
CANADIAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS-REVUE CANADIENNE D ECONOMIQUE
ISSN journal
00084085 → ACNP
Volume
32
Issue
1
Year of publication
1999
Pages
195 - 214
Database
ISI
SICI code
0008-4085(199902)32:1<195:IUATCO>2.0.ZU;2-3
Abstract
In this paper we develop a measure of the cost of inflation uncertainty whe re a risk premium can be interpreted as the amount of real consumption that a representative agent is willing to forgo in order to be guaranteed a per fectly anticipated path of inflation. This premium can be calculated based on the estimation of a utility function that takes into account portfolio a djustment costs with respect to money balances and bonds, subject to a budg et constraint that includes the after-tax returns on savings. With Canadian and U.S. data, it is shown that economic agents' preferences are such that the uncertainty of unexpected inflation was not big enough to induce a lar ge premium. JEL Classification: E31.