Limit laws for non-additive probabilities and their frequentist interpretation

Authors
Citation
M. Marinacci, Limit laws for non-additive probabilities and their frequentist interpretation, J ECON THEO, 84(2), 1999, pp. 145-195
Citations number
37
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY
ISSN journal
00220531 → ACNP
Volume
84
Issue
2
Year of publication
1999
Pages
145 - 195
Database
ISI
SICI code
0022-0531(199902)84:2<145:LLFNPA>2.0.ZU;2-Y
Abstract
In this paper we prove several limit laws for non-additive probabilities. I n particular, we prove that, under a multiplicative notion of independence and a regularity condition, if the elements of a sequence {X-k}(k greater t han or equal to 1) are i.i.d. random variables relative to a totally monoto ne and continuous capacity v, then v({integral X-1 dv less than or equal to lim inf(n) 1/n (k=1)Sigma(n) X-k l ess than or equal to lim sup(n) 1/n (k=1)Sigma(n) X-k less than or equal to - integral - X-1 dv}) = 1. Since in the additive case integral X-1 dv = - integral - X-1 dv, this is a n extension of the classic Kolmogorov's Strong Law of Large Numbers to the non-additive case. We argue that this result suggests a frequentist perspec tive on non-additive probabilities. Journal of Economic Literature Classifi cation Numbers: C60, D81. (C) 1999 Academic Press.