USE OF 24-HOUR ESOPHAGEAL PH-METRY FOR THE DETECTION OF GASTROESOPHAGEAL REFLUX IN INFANTS - WHAT IS THE IDEAL SCORE AND THE OPTIMAL THRESHOLD - A RECEIVER-OPERATING-CHARACTERISTIC ANALYSIS
A. Carroccio et al., USE OF 24-HOUR ESOPHAGEAL PH-METRY FOR THE DETECTION OF GASTROESOPHAGEAL REFLUX IN INFANTS - WHAT IS THE IDEAL SCORE AND THE OPTIMAL THRESHOLD - A RECEIVER-OPERATING-CHARACTERISTIC ANALYSIS, The Italian Journal of Gastroenterology, 29(4), 1997, pp. 297-302
The search for the ideal score and best cut-off value to interpret the
data from 24-hour continuous pH-monitoring interests both gastroenter
ologists with adult patients and paediatric gastroenterologists. Aims.
To evaluate 24-hour continuous pH monitoring as a descriminatory test
in the diagnosis of gastro-oesophageal reflux disease in a paediatric
population, using various pH-metry scores and cut-off values. Patient
s. One hundred and one patients presenting gastrooesophageal reflux di
sease (endoscopic diagnosis of oesophagitis or coincidence between apn
oea and reflux episodes observed during pH-metry), median age 10 month
s, were studied, together with a control group of 84 subjects, median
age 11 months. Results. After plotting the receiver operating characte
ristic curves and calculating the area below them, the evaluation of t
he total percentage reflux time proved to have a higher capacity for d
istinguishing between the patients and controls than the Euler score (
p<0.05). The cut-off value of 5.2% for the total percentage reflux tim
e had a sensitivity of 75% and was 88% specific. Using higher cut-off
values according to age, a 95% specificity and a 49% sensitivity were
obtained The most sensitive score was the Jolley score: 96% with a cut
-off of 64 and 90% with a cut-off of 100 (a value determining the maxi
mum diagnostic accuracy); specificity, however was low: 39-61%. In add
ition, the Jolley score was the most useful parameter in detecting pat
ients with apnoeic episodes secondary to gastro-oesophageal reflux dis
ease and allowed a correct diagnosis in 12/13 cases. Conclusions. a) T
he simple determination of total percentage reflux time, according to
the methodology used, has a higher predictive capacity than the more c
omplex pH-monitoring scores; b) the best cut-off value for total perce
ntage reflux time is 5.2% as it combines a good specificity and sensit
ivity which are necessary for this test; c) age-dependent cut-off valu
es are highly specific but sensitivity is much too low; d) the Jolley
score is very sensitive and this was maintained even when the cut-off
was raised to a value of 100; it is the best predictive score for epis
odes of gastro-oesophageal reflux-dependent apparent life-threatening
events.