There are strong reasons to justify the concept that proteinuria is a
major risk factor for progression in clinical trials. The evidence is
strongest where therapeutic intervention has been focused on establish
ed renal disease, when changes in albumin excretion rate (AER) and glo
merular filtration rate (GFR) occur within a short time span. Proteinu
ria is also important in emerging renal disease, such as incipient dia
betic nephropathy (DN), since natural history studies show that small
increases in AER predict clinical nephropathy and, ultimately, a decli
ne in GFR. However, the absence of concurrent changes in GFR in incipi
ent DN complicates the evaluation of clinical trials in this condition
. It is also not certain that the degree of coupling of changes in AER
and GFR is the same during intervention as during natural history stu
dies. The importance of proteinuria as a risk factor for progression h
as been strengthened by recent evidence showing that proteinuria itsel
f causes renal damage. Traditional concepts of the damaging effects of
proteinuria have focused on the glomeruli, where mesangial expansion
induced by transcapillary passage of proteins has been considered to l
ead to a decrease in glomerular filtration surface and a decline in GF
R. New evidence suggests that interaction of albumin with proximal ren
al tubules may not only lead to renal damage but may also be causally
related to increases in AER.