R. Duncan, WORLD FOOD MARKETS INTO THE 21ST-CENTURY - COMMODITY RISK MANAGEMENT POLICIES, AUSTRALIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL AND RESOURCE ECONOMICS, 41(3), 1997, pp. 429-443
Recent concerns about future global food production seem poorly based.
The rapid phase of growth in food consumption is over for most of the
world's population because of increased incomes and, besides, populat
ion growth rates continue to slow. Thus, the rate of growth of food pr
oduction needed in the future is much lower than it has been for the p
ast 40 years. Production and price instability will continue, perhaps
with lessened intensity because of reduced government intervention. Wi
th private agricultural interests now facing greater exposure to price
and production risks, especially in developing countries, there needs
to be greater emphasis on financial market instruments for managing t
hese risks.