Pc. Schotman, SMALL SAMPLE PROPERTIES OF THE REGRESSION TEST OF THE EXPECTATIONS MODEL OF THE TERM STRUCTURE, Economics letters, 57(2), 1997, pp. 129-134
The econometric properties of the forecasting equation relating the ch
ange of the long term interest rate to the lagged value of the spread
are investigated. Due to the extremely low population R-2 of this mode
l it can not be expected that we can produce any convincing empirical
evidence against the expectations hypothesis. The results are illustra
ted with a Monte Carlo experiment. (C) 1997 Elsevier Science S.A.