The long-term survival of elderly patients following critical illness
in the United Kingdom has not previously been studied. The demographic
(age, sex, diagnosis, severity of illness) and treatment details (adm
ission type, length of treatment, prior surgery) of all critically ill
patients aged over 70 years were recorded. The 1-year survival of suc
h patients was measured and compared with that of a matched normal pop
ulation. Of 474 patients aged over 70 years, 88 patients died on the i
ntensive care unit (19% mortality) and a further 133 died within 1 yea
r (total mortality 47%). The 1-year survival of patients aged < 85 yea
rs was 56% which was significantly better than that of patients over 8
5 years (27%). The survival of all critically ill elderly patients was
significantly poorer than that of a matched normal population (1-year
survival 93%). Logistic regression revealed that age, diagnosis and s
everity of illness are independent predictors of 1-year survival.