Using a simple criterion for the deflection of a constant-viscosity up
welling or downwelling by an endothermic phase transition, the scaling
of the critical phase buoyancy parameter P-crit with the important le
ngthscales is obtained. The derived trends match those previously obse
rved in time-dependent numerical simulations, implying that geometry i
s the dominant factor in determining the propensity to layering. For a
sinusoidal temperature anomaly, P-crit is found to be proportional to
wavelength, so that a stronger phase change is required to stop longe
r wavelengths, in accord with observations from three-dimensional nume
rical simulations. For more realistic Gaussian upwelling and downwelli
ng features, the dependence of P-crit On width of feature, spacing of
features, depth of phase transition and width of phase transition are
determined for idealized internally heated and basally heated systems.
Narrow upwellings and downwellings are deflected more easily than bro
ad ones, providing a first-order explanation for the increased propens
ity to layering as Rayleigh number is increased. Internal heating is f
ound to strongly favor deflection, particularly when the phase change
is at shallow depth. For basally heated systems, the depth of the phas
e transition is found to be relatively unimportant in determining the
value of P-crit for which both upwellings and downwellings are deflect
ed. In contrast, for internally heated systems, a shallower phase tran
sition strongly favors layering. Only weak dependence of P-crit on the
spacing of upwellings and downwellings is found. A narrower phase tra
nsition enhances deflection.