Estimates of glacial-interglacial climate change in tropical Africa ha
ve varied widely. Results from a process-based vegetation model show h
ow montane vegetation in East Africa shifts with changes in both carbo
n dioxide concentration and climate. For the last glacial maximum, the
change in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration alone could explai
n the observed replacement of tropical montane forest by a scrub biome
. This result implies that estimates of the last glacial maximum tropi
cal cooling based on treeline shifts must be revised.