The use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) is associated
with a 2% to 4% annual incidence of serious gastrointestinal complica
tions. These adverse clinical outcomes, and the strategies used to pre
vent their occurrence, translate into a significant economic burden. A
decision-analysis model was constructed to contrast the 6-month costs
associated with various approaches to preventing and managing NSAID-i
nduced gastropathy and to evaluate the economic impact of two treatmen
t regimens using fixed-dose formulations of diclofenac/misoprostol. Af
ter incorporating expected medical outcomes and predicted practice pat
terns, 6-month per-patient costs were derived from the model for each
of five treatment regimens: (1) NSAID alone; (2) NSAID with a histamin
e(2)-receptor antagonist; (3) NSAID with coprescribed misoprostol; (4)
diclofenac/misoprostol 50 mg/200 mu g TID/BID; and (5) diclofenac/mis
oprostol 75 mg/200 mu g BID. The combined diclofenac/misoprostol regim
ens demonstrated an 18.6% per-patient cost advantage compared with the
combined NSAID regimens. Based on a 6-month period, this cost savings
translated into a $214.00 per-patient overall cost savings ($1153.00
per patient for NSAID regimens versus $939.00 for diclofenac/misoprost
ol regimens). The magnitude of this difference was verified by Monte C
arlo simulation. Despite the considerable cost difference, sensitivity
analyses revealed that our model was robust and that no single variat
ion substantially influenced the results. Given the lack of long-term
prospective, comparative clinical-outcomes studies in this area, this
decision analysis provides guidance to clinicians in developing a rati
onal and cost-effective approach to the treatment of patients requirin
g chronic NSAID therapy.