A DYNAMIC-MODEL OF FOREST CARBON STORAGE IN THE UNITED-STATES DURING CLIMATIC-CHANGE

As carbon dioxide increases and climate changes over the next century, will ecosystems react by storing more carbon or by releasing it? Whil e many ecosystem models predict that natural forest systems ultimately will store more carbon, transient scenarios predict that they will re lease carbon during the transition. In this paper, we integrate ecosys tem and management responses to a climate scenario and predict that in creased amounts of carbon will be stored in both the short run and the long run. These increases will come from two areas: adaptive response s of forest managers and carbon storage within the economic system.