Objective: To examine the relationship between birth weight and brachi
al plexus injury and estimate the number of cesareans needed to reduce
such injuries. Methods: All 80 neonatal records coded for brachial pl
exus injury from October 1985 to September 1993 at the Brigham and Wom
en's Hospital in Boston, Massachusetts, were studied along with linked
maternal files. Birth weight, method of delivery, presence or absence
of shoulder dystocia, and any diagnosis of maternal gestational or no
ngestational diabetes were abstracted. Data for the group with brachia
l plexus injury were compared with data for live-born infants without
this injury during the same period. The sensitivity and specificity of
birth weight as a predictor of brachial plexus injury were calculated
. Further, the number of cesarean deliveries necessary to prevent a si
ngle brachial plexus injury was estimated using various weight cutoffs
(4000, 4500, and 5000 g) for elective cesarean delivery. Results: Amo
ng 77,616 consecutive deliveries, there were 80 brachial plexus injuri
es identified, for an incidence of 1.03 per 1000 live births. The inci
dence of brachial plexus injury increased with increasing birth weight
, operative vaginal delivery, and the presence of glucose intolerance.
In the group of women without diabetes, between 19 and 162 cesarean d
eliveries would have been necessary to prevent a single immediate brac
hial plexus injury. Among women with diabetes, between five and 48 add
itional cesareans would have been required. Conclusion: Although birth
weight is a predictor of brachial plexus injury, the number of cesare
an deliveries necessary to prevent a single injury is high at most bir
th weights. Because of the large number of cesarean deliveries needed
to prevent a single brachial plexus injury in infants born to women wi
thout diabetes, it is difficult to recommend routine cesarean delivery
for suspected macrosomia in these women. (C) 1997 by The American Col
lege of Obstetricians and Gynecologists.