Cd. Cropp et al., EVALUATION OF AMINOGLYCOSIDE PHARMACOKINETICS IN POSTPARTUM PATIENTS USING BAYESIAN FORECASTING, Therapeutic drug monitoring, 20(1), 1998, pp. 68-72
Many postpartum women have suboptimal serum concentrations after stand
ard doses of aminoglycosides. The purpose of this study was to charact
erize the pharmacokinetics of aminoglycosides in postpartum patients t
hrough the use of Bayesian forecasting and to test the ability of thes
e subpopulation parameters to predict actual aminoglycoside serum conc
entrations. In phase I, 28 postpartum patients who received empiric ge
ntamicin therapy were identified and Bayesian subpopulation parameters
generated, In phase II, additional gentamicin concentrations (peaks a
nd troughs) were evaluated to test bias and precision of Bayesian subp
opulation versus traditional estimates in predicting actual aminoglyco
side serum concentrations, In phase I, 56 gentamicin serum concentrati
ons in 28 patients, (age, 26 +/- 7 years; actual body weight [ABW], 84
.3 +/- 18.4 kg: ideal body weight [IBW], 54.6 +/- 5.1 kg; dosing weigh
t [DW]. 66.3 +/- 9.4 kg: creatinine clearance [Cl-cr], 140.4 +/- 34.0
ml/min/1.73 m(2)), were evaluated to calculate subpopulation pharmacok
inetic parameters of volume of distribution (Vd) 0.29 +/- 0.07 l/kg (D
W); elimination rate constant (k(e)) 0.29 +/- 0.05 h(-1) and half-life
(t(1/2)) 2.5 +/- 0.5 hours. In phase II, 50 gentamicin serum concentr
ations in 25 patients (age, 23 +/- 4 years; ABW 79.4 +/- 17.5 kg; IBW
55.0 +/- 7.3 kg; DW 64.8 +/- 9.6 kg; Cl-cr 139.7 +/- 29.3 ml/min/1.73
m(2)) were evaluated to calculate subpopulation pharmacokinetic parame
ters of Vd 0.30 +/- 0.04 l/kg (DW); k(e) 0.27 +/- 0.06 h(-1); and t(1/
2) 2.9 +/- 0.8 hours. Predictive performance tests (95% confidence int
ervals demonstrate that subpopulation postpartum Bayesian parameters s
how greater precision for peak concentrations and less bias for trough
concentrations than do traditional population estimates (p < 0.05). D
efinition of the Bayesian subpopulation parameters will allow us to do
se aminoglycosides optimally in postpartum patients who have fragmente
d data.