We provide evidence that corporate tax status is endogenous to financi
ng decisions, which induces a spurious relation between measures of fi
nancial policy and many commonly used tax proxies. Using a forward-loo
king estimate of before-financing corporate marginal tax rates, we doc
ument a negative relation between operating leases and tax rates, and
a positive relation between debt levels and tax rates. This is the fir
st unambiguous evidence supporting the hypothesis that low tax rate fi
rms lease more, and have lower debt levels, than high tax rate firms.