Questionnaires from 39 state National Pollutant Discharge Elimination
System (NPDES) agencies were analyzed using principal component analys
is and multiple regression. Decentralized programs scored better in a
fundamental indicator of efficiency (lower percentage of expired permi
ts) and in the key effectiveness measure of unit-cost compliance achie
ved. In no case did centralized states score significantly better than
decentralized ones. These results indicated support for the theory th
at superior local knowledge is the key mechanism. Case studies of five
states suggested internal program adjustments may cause outcomes to c
onverge towards efficiency and effectiveness, perhaps explaining the l
arge number of variables showing no difference between centralized pro
grams and decentralized ones.