Sv. Paunonen, HIERARCHICAL ORGANIZATION OF PERSONALITY AND PREDICTION OF BEHAVIOR, Journal of personality and social psychology, 74(2), 1998, pp. 538-556
Two studies evaluated personality trait measures and Big Five factor m
easures for their accuracy in predicting important behavior criteria.
The results of both studies showed that the narrower traits and the br
oader factors, thought to define 2 levels of a hierarchy of personalit
y variables, separately predicted most criterion variables. However, t
he incremental validity of the personality trait measures (the degree
to which the traits increased the criterion prediction achieved by the
factors) was generally much larger than the incremental validity of t
he Big Five factor measures. It was concluded that aggregating persona
lity traits into their underlying personality factors could result in
decreased predictive accuracy due to the loss of trait-specific but cr
iterion-valid variance.