Bh. Letcher et Ja. Rice, PREY PATCHINESS AND LARVAL FISH GROWTH AND SURVIVAL - INFERENCES FROMAN INDIVIDUAL-BASED MODEL, Ecological modelling, 95(1), 1997, pp. 29-43
We used an individual-based simulation model to evaluate how prey patc
hiness and fish swimming behavior affect larval fish survival and mort
ality source (predation or starvation). Simulations revealed that coho
rt survival increased linearly with greater average patch residence ti
mes and that patch residence times for individual fish with different
fates (survived, starved, eaten) diverged substantially during the fir
st few days of feeding. Further, by examining the interaction of patch
spatial distribution (uniform random versus clumped) with three possi
ble swimming behaviors, we found that swimming behavior, via its effec
t on prey encounter and feeding rates, affected both cohort survival r
ates and whether fish died from predation or starvation, but that the
spatial distribution of patches (fine-scale (100s m)) only influenced
whether fish died from predation or starvation. Within a particular pa
tch spatial arrangement, however, patch intensity (division of food be
tween patches and non-patches) had a major effect on survival. Except
at high food levels, fish did not survive when there were no patches,
suggesting that average, well-mixed prey densities will not support su
fficiently rapid growth for survival. As patch intensity increased, su
rvival increased to a maximum and then declined, with peak survival oc
curring at higher patch intensity as average food concentration declin
ed. Finally, the degree of patchiness also determined the intensity of
selection on growth rates. In patchier environments, there was strong
er selection for fast growth rates leading to eight-fold differences i
n average cohort growth rates after only three days of growth. In gene
ral, survival was not directly related to fast cohort growth the best
survival occurred with high average prey densities and weak patchiness
. Prey patchiness, by influencing the average as well as the variance
in individual growth rates, can have a substantial impact on survival
rates of larval fish cohorts. (C) 1997 Elsevier Science B.V.