In conventional fault tree analysis (FTA), the ambiguous and imprecise
events such as human errors tend not to be handled effectively. To ov
ercome this disadvantage, a hybrid approach employing fuzzy set evalua
tion and probabilistic estimation for FTA is proposed to evaluate abno
rmal events. The safety problem of unexpected robot motion in an aircr
aft wing drilling system was analyzed using the proposed method. The r
esults indicated that the proposed approach is very effective in analy
zing the reliability of a man-machine system. (C) 1998. Published by E
lsevier Science Limited.