Commercial transport aircraft are required to operate under the concep
t of damage tolerance. Because of the structural redundancy and the cr
ack arrest capability, the current fleet of commercial aircraft was in
itially designed to have sufficient residual strength to sustain discr
ete source damage. However, fatigue damage during the life of are airc
raft can significantly reduce the residual strength of an aging aircra
ft. It is important to predict the threshold for the onset of widespre
ad fatigue damage, i.e., the initiation and growth of cracks at rivet
holes (multiple site damage) to threshold sizes at which, in conjuncti
on with a lead crack, the residual strength of the aircraft may fall b
elow the limit load. A hierarchical global-intermediate-local approach
is presented for the numerical predictions of the widespread fatigue
damage thresholds. A detailed numerical study is presented to illustra
te the importance of 1) the use of elastic-plastic fracture mechanics
to assess the residual strength and 2) the importance of the local str
esses due to rivet misfit, clamping, cold working, fretting, etc., in
assessing the number of fatigue cycles to reach the widespread fatigue
damage threshold for an aging aircraft.