THE USE OF ARTIFICIAL-NEURAL-NETWORKS METHODOLOGY IN THE ASSESSMENT OF VULNERABILITY TO HEROIN USE AMONG ARMY-CORPS SOLDIERS - A PRELIMINARY-STUDY OF 170 CASES INSIDE THE MILITARY-HOSPITAL-OF-LEGAL-MEDICINE-OF-VERONA
L. Speri et al., THE USE OF ARTIFICIAL-NEURAL-NETWORKS METHODOLOGY IN THE ASSESSMENT OF VULNERABILITY TO HEROIN USE AMONG ARMY-CORPS SOLDIERS - A PRELIMINARY-STUDY OF 170 CASES INSIDE THE MILITARY-HOSPITAL-OF-LEGAL-MEDICINE-OF-VERONA, Substance use & misuse, 33(3), 1998, pp. 555-586
This article describes a preliminary study of screening/diagnostic ins
truments for prediction for large-scale application in the military fi
eld at the Neuropsychiatric Department of the Military Hospital of Leg
al Medicine of Verona and for the prevention of self-destructive behav
iors, particularly through the use of drugs. 170 subjects divided into
three subsamples were examined. The first subsample was characterized
by a strong tendency towards normalcy, the second by a strong tendenc
y towards pathology, and the third by a great variety of expressions o
f psychological and social problems, which were not necessarily relate
d to drug use. These subjects were administered a questionnaire design
ed according to Squashing Theory principles (Buscema, 1994a). Answers
were processed by an Artificial Neural Network created by Semeion in R
ome (Buscema, 1996) and were compared with a standard clinical psychia
tric assessment report and with the results of psychodiagnostic tests.
Results document ANNs' remarkable ability to recognize subjects with
declared, in exordium and ''at risk'' pathological behaviors. Blind re
sults on learning and trial samples show a very high predictive capaci
ty (over 90%). A comparison with the examined subjects' clinical repor
t and the results of the first follow-up also document very high agree
ments. The broad variation of answers obtained in the third subsample
allows further methodological reflections on the contribution of Artif
icial Neural Networks and Squashing Theory to the study of deviance, f
or both sociologists and clinicians, and not only for those in the fie
ld of drug addiction.