Nb. Guttman, COMPARING THE PALMER DROUGHT INDEX AND THE STANDARDIZED PRECIPITATIONINDEX, Journal of the american water resources association, 34(1), 1998, pp. 113-121
The Palmer Drought Index (PDI) is used as an indicator of drought seve
rity, and a particular index value is often the signal to begin or dis
continue elements of a drought contingency plan. The Standardized Prec
ipitation Index (SPI) was recently developed to quantify a precipitati
on deficit for different time scales. It was designed to be an indicat
or of drought that recognizes the importance of time scales in the ana
lysis of water availability and water use. This study compares histori
cal time series of the PDI with time series of the corresponding SPI t
hrough spectral analysis. Results show that the spectral characteristi
cs of the PDI vary from site to site throughout the U.S., while those
of the SPI do not vary from site to site. They also show that the PDI
has a complex structure with an exceptionally long memory, while the S
PI is an easily interpreted, simple moving average process.