Objective To elucidate the transmission dynamic and epidemic trend of
bancroftian filariasis occurred under the condition with no control me
asure taken 5 years after elimination of filariasis. Methods A 10-year
longitudinal observation (from 1984 to 1994) was made in Huayuan Vill
age in Shengli Township of Tancheng County, which used to be a high ba
ncroftian filariasis-endemic area in southern part of Shandong Provinc
e. Results The microfilarial rate decreased from 0.56% before the stud
y to 0.12% after the study and 8 out of the 9 previous microfilaria-po
sitive cases became negative gradually. During the study period, 6 new
microfilaremia cases were detected, 5 of which became negative natura
lly within 3 to 4 years. Eighty-eight point eight nine per cent of the
detected patients with microfilaremia converted into IgG4-negative af
ter 10 years. The natural infective rate of vectors decreased year by
year and became zero by the tenth year of the study, the annual transm
ission potency decreased also from 3.47 to zero by the tenth year. Con
clusions It showed that under the local natural environment the biting
rate representing the vector density which was obtained by capture me
thod was from 24.1 to 52.5 person/night among the residents who did no
t use mosquito nets, and 13.5 to 21 person/night among the residents w
ho used mosquito nets. The microfilarial rate of 0.56% in population w
ith the average microfilarial density of 6.6 to 20.7 capita/60 mu l ea
r blood of residual microfilaria-positive patients might be considered
as the terminal threshold of transmission.