R. Bali et Gl. Hite, EX DIVIDEND DAY STOCK-PRICE BEHAVIOR - DISCRETENESS OR TAX-INDUCED CLIENTELES, Journal of financial economics, 47(2), 1998, pp. 127-159
Since prices are constrained to discrete tick multiples while dividend
s are essentially continuous, ex day price changes will not equal divi
dends. We argue that the expected price drop is strictly less than the
dividend but within one tick of the dividend. The price-drop-to-divid
end ratio will(i) be less than one, (ii) increase with dividends gener
ally, and (iii) decline between tick multiples, giving a sawtooth patt
ern in the data, Since dividends and dividend yields are highly correl
ated, discreteness will give the impression of tax-induced dividend cl
ienteles even if there are none. Taxable cash dividends and nontaxable
stock dividends exhibit similar ex day behavior. (C) 1998 Elsevier Sc
ience S.A. All rights reserved.