FORECASTING A COLLECTION OF BINOMIAL PROPORTIONS IN THE PRESENCE OF COVARIATES

Citation
Twf. Stroud et al., FORECASTING A COLLECTION OF BINOMIAL PROPORTIONS IN THE PRESENCE OF COVARIATES, International journal of forecasting, 14(1), 1998, pp. 5-15
Citations number
15
Categorie Soggetti
Management,"Planning & Development
ISSN journal
01692070
Volume
14
Issue
1
Year of publication
1998
Pages
5 - 15
Database
ISI
SICI code
0169-2070(1998)14:1<5:FACOBP>2.0.ZU;2-9
Abstract
A Bayesian predictive method is proposed for forecasting a binomial va riate where the success probability varies across sites and years, in the presence of covariates. This is applied to the problem of forecast ing, for the next year, participation in an annual conference whose lo cation rotates and whose potential participants come from a number of specified countries or regions. (C) 1998 Elsevier Science B.V.