In this paper, we present an adaptive prefetch scheme for network use,
in which we download files that will very likely be requested in the
near future, based on the user access history and the network conditio
ns. Our prefetch scheme consists of two parts: a prediction module and
a threshold module. In the prediction module, we estimate the probabi
lity with which each file will be requested in the near future. In the
threshold module, we compute the prefetch threshold for each related
server, the idea being that the access probability is compared to the
prefetch threshold, An important contribution of this paper is that we
derive a formula for the prefetch threshold to determine its value dy
namically based on system load, rapacity, and the cost of time and sys
tem resources to the user, We also show that by prefetching those file
s whose access probability is greater than or equal to its server's pr
efetch threshold, a lower average cost can always be achieved, As an e
xample, we present a prediction algorithm for web browsing, Simulation
s of this prediction algorithm show that, by using access information
from the client, we can achieve high successful prediction rates, whil
e using that from the server generally results in more hits.