This paper assesses the importance-of design in determining product co
sts by measuring the variation in design performance among a set of co
mpeting design efforts. This assessment is completed for a set of func
tionally similar products in a single product category: automatic drip
coffee makers, The approach of this study is to measure the manufactu
ring content-the attributes of the design that drive cost-through anal
ysis of the physical products themselves, and to estimate how variatio
n in manufacturing content relates to variation in cost in a hypotheti
cal manufacturing setting. We call this approach product archaeology.
For the domain of coffee makers, we find significant variation in manu
facturing content. This variation in manufacturing content corresponds
to a range of estimated manufacturing casts, for a hypothetical manuf
acturing system, of approximately 50 percent of the average manufactur
ing cost of the products, We also find that differences in capabilitie
s among product-development efforts are the most plausible explanation
for the differences in manufacturing content.