A LOGISTIC MODEL OF THE SEASONAL MIGRATION DECISION FOR ELDERLY HOUSEHOLDS IN ARIZONA AND MINNESOTA

While most previous studies of elderly migration have investigated per manent migration using Census data, this paper employs household (micr o) data from statewide surveys conducted in Arizona and Minnesota to a nalyze seasonal migration as an economic decision. Estimation of logis tic regression models for each state indicate income and age are impor tant determinants, whereas these variables have not proven significant in previous studies based on aggregate data. The results lead to the conclusion that seasonal migration may be an integral part of a life c ycle of elderly migration.